Optimal Allocation of Postal Services

Poste Italiane

The Problem

Post offices (UP – Ufficio Postale) are the backbone of Italy’s service ecosystem. When an UP closes, the ripple effect is not just a “closed door” – it’s a realignment of customer flows, a redistribution of revenue, and a potential shift to competitors or digital channels.

Key questions that decision‑makers ask:
What happens if we close an UP?What gets moved?Where do customers go?
1️⃣ Production for bollettini, bollette, PagoPA, MAV, Postepay ricariche, telefoniche, pacchi Partial shift to LIS (limited service points) and to nearby UPs Some customers stay locally, some switch to competitors, some shift to digital
2️⃣ Production for all other services (polizze, conti, fibra, energia, …) Partial shift to nearby UPs Same loss dynamics as above

In short, every closure changes the “water‑table” of service delivery. To make evidence‑based decisions, we need a tool that lets you simulate these scenarios – a what‑if engine that quantifies the impact on revenue, customer base, and digital adoption.

The Solution – PosteScope

PosteScope is a web‑based interactive simulator that: Loads real data – production by product type for each UP, LIS capacities, bank presence, and demographic metrics. Allows you to pick any UP to “close” – or simulate the addition of a new LIS. Re‑allocates production according to the rules above (partial shift, competitor capture, digital loss). Visualises the impact on a map and on key metrics (revenue loss, customer churn, digital share). Explores the spatial effect – the influence radius of a closure scales with city size and population density. All of this is baked into a single‑page application (SPA) that is responsive, fast, and fun to play with.